Pain-Off! | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

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Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

Trump is trying to choke off the country’s lifeline with a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. But the Iranians are betting that his tolerance for political pain is limited.

• Iran is waging the conflict in the global markets. If no Iranian oil gets through the strait, prices could keep rising over time — some companies say they are planning for $175 a barrel. The Iranians understand the potential political effects of continued inflation in the U.S. less than seven months before midterms.

• For expert analysis about the energy markets showdown, we will be joined by Mark Barteau, a renowned chemical engineer and expert in heterogeneous catalysis for fuels, chemicals, and energy processes. He serves as Vice President for Research at Texas A&M University, holding the C.D. Holland ’53 Chair in Engineering with joint appointments in Chemical Engineering and Chemistry. Previously, he directed energy institutes at the University of Michigan and University of Delaware. A National Academy of Engineering member with over 250 publications, his work advances clean energy and carbon management.

• Ramsey County, Minnesota is investigating the arrest of a Hmong American man by ICE as a case of kidnapping, burglary and false imprisonment, officials announced Monday. On Jan. 18, ICE agents bashed open the front door of the St. Paul home of ChongLy “Scott” Thao, 56, at gunpoint — without a warrant — then led him outside in just his underwear and a blanket in sub-zero conditions. Thao is a U.S. citizen. The City of St. Paul is also investigating.

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Trump Joins Iran’s Blockade | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

Live at 9 AM Eastern & Streaming 24-7 Thereafter:

Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

• In one of the most bizarre gambits in military history, Trump responds to Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz with his own blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. You can’t blockade—I blockade! Oil futures are soaring; stocks are down. (Tune in Tuesday as oil-markets expert Prof. Mark Barteau of Texas A&M joins to explain the economics of global oil markets and this game of economic brinkmanship.)

Peace talks in Islamabad collapse over the U.S. “take it or leave it” demand that Iran stop enriching uranium and surrender its stockpile, Israel’s war against Lebanon, sanctions, reparations, and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Is there still hope?

• The 55-to-38 defeat of Hungary’s prime minister, Viktor Orbán, by Peter Magyar, leader of the center-right Tisza party, should deliver a sharp jolt to one of America’s two major political parties—the Democrats.

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Ted Rall vs. Robby West: Is Climate Change Real? | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

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Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

• In today’s Bonus Show, Ted and producer Robby debate whether climate change is real.

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Target: The Far Left | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

LIVE 9:00 am Eastern time, Streaming Anytime:

Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

• In an unusually expansive way, Sebastian Gorka, senior counterterrorism director on the National Security Council, is designating leftist groups in Greece, Germany and Italy as terrorist organizations, to pressure foreign allies to investigate them and to search for connections with leftists here so they can surveil, investigate and imprison American opponents of Trump.

Melania Trump denies connections to Jeffrey Epstein and that Epstein introduced her to Donald. Why?

Trump warns Iran ahead of planned negotiations this weekend, to comply abide by terms he says were agreed on for a ceasefire, or he’ll order large-scale attacks on the country. 6 ships—no oil tankers—passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday. JD Vance, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will attend peace talks in Islamabad. After a surge of suspicious trading on prediction markets, the White House tells staff not to use insider information on the Iran war to bet on financial markets.

If someone wants to break into your Signal chats, they might find a way to do so. The FBI recently extracted incoming Signal messages from a defendant’s iPhone. The user had deleted the app, but the FBI scraped incoming messages from the push notification database, even though those messages were set to disappear.

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Dire Strait | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

LIVE 9:00 am Eastern time, Streaming Anytime:

Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

• Iran says Hezbollah and Lebanon were part of the ceasefire deal. Pakistan, the mediator, confirms Iran’s understanding, as do France and the UK. Israel keeps bombing anyway. Now Iran says the Strait of Hormuz, open for ten minutes, is closed indefinitely. Is this a ceasefire, a fragile ceasefire, or all-out war, and will scheduled talks happen in Islamabad on Saturday?

Desperate to end the war he started, Trump drafted an X post in which Pakistan PM Shehbaz Sharif pretended to ask the US and Iran to negotiate a ceasefire. But Sharif derped—and posted it with “*Draft – Pakistan’s PM Message on X*.” Iran is emboldened and Pakistan’s role as neutral arbiter has been exposed.

• Americans oppose the war by a 2-to-1 margin. Trump also suffers from a credibility gap; a majority think he is lying about Iran. Republicans worry that Trump’s attempts to end his war with Iran are too little, too late to save them from losing the House and Senate.

• For the first time, American men ages 18-26 will automatically be registered for the military draft by December.

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Q&A | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

LIVE 12:00 noon Eastern time, Streaming Anytime:

Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Have a question for Ted and/or new co-host Jamarl Thomas? Join the hosts of “DeProgram” for a full hour of nothing but LIVE Q&A! Any topic, any question, goes—it’s up to you. Q&A extras are every Monday and Wednesday at 12 noon Eastern time.

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Two More Weeks | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

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Editorial cartoonist Ted Rall and political analyst Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

• As we predicted, Trump TACOed again in the final hour, extending last night’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and agreeing to a ceasefire for another two weeks to allow the U.S. and Iran to hash out an end to the U.S.-Israeli War Against Iran. Israel, with a history of scuttling ceasefires, says it will continue to invade and bomb Lebanon, and is reported to have attacked an oil refinery on the country’s Lavan Island in the Persian Gulf.

Sticking points include: the US demanding zero uranium enrichment on Iranian soil with full dismantlement of capabilities and stockpiles versus Iran’s insistence on its sovereign right to enrich; Iran seeking immediate full lifting of all US sanctions and asset releases versus the US offering only phased relief tied to verifiable compliance; disputes over Iranian control versus unrestricted access through the Strait of Hormuz; the US pushing limits on Iran’s ballistic missiles and an end to support for regional proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis versus Iran’s refusal to negotiate these defensive elements; and Iran’s demands for US non-aggression pledges, possible troop withdrawal, reparations, and a binding UN resolution.

Gulf countries are being forced to re-evaluate their relationships with Israel, Iran and the United States — their main security guarantor — now that the war has exposed the vulnerability of their oil fields, water desalination plants, hotels and airports.

ICE shot another man, Carlos Ivan Mendoza Hernandez, in Patterson, 80 miles east of San Jose. ICE claimed Hernandez is a member of the Los Angeles 18th Street gang and was wanted for questioning in El Salvador related to a murder. In a video, three ICE agents were seen flanking a black sedan pinned between two other vehicles – respectively at its front and back – with flashing police lights. As the officers reached into the vehicle, the black sedan reversed with its right passenger door open. That door collided with the car behind it. The agents had their weapons drawn as the car reversed.

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America Knows How To Kill, Not How To Win a War

“You can kill ten of our men for every one we kill of yours,” resistance leader Hồ Chí Minh told the French who ruled Vietnam as a colony in 1946. “But even at those odds, you will lose and we will win.” Historians who describe this remark as directed toward France’s successor oppressors in Southeast Asia (the U.S.) are mistaken—though the error is understandable. France was trying to save its empire at the same time colonialism was dying; the U.S. wanted to stop the spread of communism.

Over three decades, the Viet Minh defeated two vastly superior military forces, France and the U.S., because their civilian leaders sent them to war without war aims that were clear, realistic and widely internalized by their own citizens.

What went wrong was well understood after the fall of Saigon. “We fought a military war; our opponents fought a political one,” Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, architect of the secret bombings of Cambodia and Laos, summarized. “We sought physical attrition; our opponents aimed for our psychological exhaustion.”

In the 1980s, as the U.S. recovered from the trauma of defeat, revisionists challenged the view of the war as a misbegotten quagmire. Right-wing veterans, ex-officials and pundits argued that the political class had “stolen defeat from the jaws of victory” by not killing or bombing even more. President Reagan portrayed Vietnam as a “noble cause” as did movies like the Rambo series, where Sylvester Stallone’s character declares, “I did what I had to do to win! But somebody wouldn’t let us win!”

Military superiority allows you to kill people and destroy infrastructure with gleeful abandon, but it’s not enough to win a war. That lesson unlearned, U.S. forces went on to make the same mistakes in Afghanistan and Iraq.

In Afghanistan, the U.S. enjoyed total air supremacy, sophisticated surveillance, well-trained and well-supplied conventional forces against Taliban militia fighters with small arms. The U.S. military claimed one tactical victory after another in battle. But American strategy was a mess.

Bush’s initial war aims were popular, clear and limited: disrupt Al Qaeda and overthrow the Taliban. With only a few hundred Al Qaeda fighters left in the country by 2002, Bush’s goals were easily accomplished. Rather than declare victory and leave, however, the U.S. expanded into unrealistic, amorphous nation-building exercises like propping up a centralized democratic government that excluded the Taliban who had the most support among Afghans, promoting women’s rights, and building a self-sustaining national security force in a fragmented, tribal society with no history of strong central governance. Goals shifted as Obama, and then Trump, took power without a coherent, realistic strategy or well-defined exit criteria that defined what success would look like. The Taliban, on the other hand, had one simple, consistent war aim: expel the invaders and reestablish their emirate. They were also determined, had sanctuaries across the border in Pakistan and the ability to outlast American political will.

In Iraq, the U.S. again won its initial 2003 invasion with superior technology, airpower, and ground forces. One of America’s initial missions, however, was impossible to accomplish: after deposing Saddam Hussein, seize his WMDs. Which did not exist. Unlike with the Afghan War, American voters quickly lost faith in Bush’s claim that Iraq posed a threat. A lengthy occupation brought about new goals: installing a stable democracy in a deeply divided country with sectarian tensions. The U.S. created a power vacuum filled by insurgency, civil war, and ultimately a million dead people.

The Soviets in Afghanistan and the French in Algeria both lost for similar reasons despite enjoying overwhelming military superiority. You can blow up buildings and pump holes through human beings with terrifying efficiency, but you will still lose in the end without clear, realistic and popular war aims.

In its first five weeks, the joint U.S.-Israeli war against Iran has already failed to fulfill the war aims checklist, and spectacularly so.

Trump’s stated goals for attacking Iran include eliminating imminent threats from the regime, destroying its long-range ballistic missiles and production facilities, annihilating its navy, preventing nuclear weapon development and stopping support for proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah. As with Iraq’s WMDs, several of these goals are unrealistic because they cannot be accomplished. There was/is no imminent threat from Iran. There is no Iranian nuclear weapons program. There are no Iranian intercontinental missiles. The proxy relationship has always been loosely knit. Polls show there is no buy-in for any of this from the American electorate.

Reading past the increasingly desperate and hysterical tone of his messaging, Trump’s current top war aim is the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Which was open before the war. When your goal is the status quo ante bellum, you have lost.

Furthermore, Trump’s latest objective is unachievable: Emmanuel Macron said: “Some people defend the idea of freeing the Strait of Hormuz by ​force via a military operation.” The French president continued: “This was never the option we have supported because it is unrealistic. It would take forever, and would expose all those who go through the Strait to risks from the Revolutionary Guards but also ballistic missiles.”

Unless he uses nuclear weapons, eliminating Iran’s ability to launch missiles at the Strait of Hormuz would require a sustained, nationwide air and special operations campaign, and securing inland provinces as well as a coastal strip, which would require hundreds of thousands of combat troops—which the Pentagon does not have. Seizing the coast or islands like Kharg could not restore safe passage to shipping through the Strait.

Trump brags that Operation Epic Fury has “struck 13,000 targets, damaged over 85% of Iran’s defense industrial base, destroyed the majority of Iran’s ballistic missiles and destroyed 16 entire classes of Iranian warships.”

All that may be true.

But it won’t matter.

(Ted Rall, the political cartoonist, columnist and graphic novelist, is the author of “Never Mind the Democrats. Here’s What’s Left.” Subscribe: tedrall.Substack.com. He is co-host of the podcast “DeProgram with Ted Rall and John Kiriakou.”)

 

TACO Tuesday 2.0 | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

LIVE 9:00 am Eastern time, Streaming Anytime:

Political cartoonist Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas deprogram you from mainstream media every weekday at 9 AM EST.

Today we discuss:

• Tick, tock…8 pm Eastern tonight is Trump’s self-chosen deadline for U.S. forces to begin destroying Iran’s bridges and power plants unless the Islamic Republic agrees to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. With all indications that Iran is not only winning but becoming a major economic player as a result of the Trump-Netanyahu attack, will Trump TACO out again?

• Iran rejected a 45-day ceasefire proposal. “We only accept an end of the war with guarantees that we won’t be attacked again,” Mojtaba Ferdousi Pour, head of the Iranian diplomatic mission in Cairo, told the AP. In return, Iran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran would also impose a fee of roughly $2 million per ship that it would split with Oman. Iran would use its share reconstruct infrastructure destroyed by American and Israeli attacks.

• Australia charged Ben Roberts-Smith, once Australia’s most decorated soldier, with five counts of “war crime — murder” in Afghanistan from 2009 to 2012, A former patrol commander of the Special Air Service Regiment, he received Australia’s top two military honors and was named Australia’s Father of the Year in 2013. In one version of events, one victim was a laborer who was handcuffed and kicked off a cliff.

Another ICE Lie: After an immigration agent shot and wounded a Venezuelan immigrant in Minneapolis this winter, the federal government cast the injured man as an attempted murderer and the agent as the victim of a brutal beating. A video contradicts the agent’s claim that assailants had beaten him with a shovel and broom before he opened fire. The video lasts about 12 seconds and shows two men struggling with the agent—no shovel. Prosecutors did not watch the footage until nearly three weeks after they filed charges.

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Q&A | DeProgram with Ted Rall and Jamarl Thomas

Have a question for Ted and/or new co-host Jamarl Thomas? Join the hosts of “DeProgram” for a full hour of nothing but LIVE Q&A! Any topic, any question, goes—it’s up to you.


Beginning today, Q&A will be every Monday and Wednesday at 12 noon Eastern time.

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